Category: Tips

Finding The Best Odds: As Important As Picking The Winner.

Apparently, we are happy to make our money for anything: from oxen to bullfight. Recently, the consulting firm H2 Gambling Capital has published statistics that show that an average adult in the UK or the adult US will lose about $ 400 each year. But they are nowhere near to the Australians (the most prolific players) who will lose more than $ 1,400 for each adult this year. Before placing bets on a sports match, you first need to look at the stakes. That’s where you need to develop skills in finding the best odds. What for? Well, just because you can lose more money than you. There are more sports betting than a simple dollar ration, so finding the best odds is extremely necessary before deciding which sports match to bet on.

All these losses are added to popular sports betting markets, such as English Premier League football, NFL football, NBA basketball, NHL hockey and MLB baseball make billions of dollars a year. And, like in other billions of industries, competition for your custom is tough. Online bookmaking operations today are smooth, sophisticated and commit murder. They use experts to establish appropriate starting prices and use complex statistical models to manage their risk in real time.

However, all these efforts from bookmakers are no different from the time spent by the players themselves. Think about the time you spend on making a bet in your mind before you place it, and then multiply by the number of bets placed every day. Hundreds of thousands of person-hours are spent, trying to predict the result of sporting events every day.

But could these efforts be better used?

There are only two things that determine the expected payment of a bet. The first is the probability of the forecasted result, and the second is the odds taken for this result. An improvement in one of these factors improves the expected rate of return. However, since all the effort spent trying to predict the right result, it seems that proportionally minimal effort is spent to ensure the best possible odds.

This is hardly logical. It is impossible to foresee the outcome of a sporting event with any significant confidence and even to guess the likelihood that a particular result is tough. At least some time spent predicting the outcome of a sporting event would be better spent comparing the chances of different bookmakers and choosing a bookmaker that offers the best return on that particular bet. Quickly and easily go shopping around many online bookmakers, compare odds and find the best offer. There’s even a lot of services that will do this for you for free.

Professional players often have accounts with several bookmakers, pay close attention to the odds offered by everyone, and find the best odds before they bet. But the average player tends to mindlessly accept the odds offered by his usual bookie. This is a big oversight and a costly missed opportunity.

Bookmakers often publish significantly different chances for the same event, and usually, find discrepancies of up to 10% from one bookmaker to another. This percentage is for taking, and it puzzles me that more people do not go shopping around to improve chances. Our Tip! Betfred. Find here a Betfred review.

Betting Tips: Viktoria Plzeň Vs AEK Larnaca

Czech league winners Viktoria Plzeň and AEK Larnaca lock horns at the Doosan Arena on Thursday evening in their first ever meeting. Both sides failed to make it through to the Champions League finals so they’ll be keen to progress to the group stages of the Europa tournament.

Viktoria Plzeň

Czech side Viktoria continue their Europa League debut and they’ll be looking to capitalize on the home advantage. They had a dismal end to their Champions League campaign, conceding three goals in less than ten minutes and losing 4-1 at home to Steaua Bucuresti earlier this month. However, they’ve kicked off the new season on good form. After 3 games in the Czech Liga so far, they’re the only side to have won all 9 points, scoring one or more goals and keeping a clean sheet in every match. In their most recent league match on the 29 July they thumped Dukla Prague 4-0 at home. In fact, since last season they haven’t lost in the Czech league for 6 games, scoring 10 times and conceding just twice. Manager Pavel Vrba is likely to stick with the reasonably successful 4-2-3-1 formation, playing Czech Republic international Michal Krmenčík up front. The 24-year-old scored twice in two Champions League qualifiers, and has 2 World Cup qualifier goals to his name.

AEK Larnaca

Underdogs Larnaca begin their seventh tie in the qualifying rounds with a solid record. They’ve won 4 times and drawn twice in the tournament, scoring in every single game. They put away 11 goals in those 6 games and conceded only twice. They also managed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their last 6 qualifying matches.
The Cyprus Championship season has yet to start, but they finished a close second in their domestic league last season — just 4 points shy of winners APOEL Nicosia. In fact, they come into this match unbeaten in 14 games, having scored a very respectable 66 goals in just 36 matches last season.
They also have a reasonably strong away record with 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses out of their last 10, and could cause Plzeň some real problems on Thursday.

Top Betting Tips

It’s difficult to predict how Larnaca will fair, given their league season hasn’t yet begun. However, their fairly comfortable ride through the first three qualification rounds indicates they’ll be no pushover. They’re certainly stronger than the bookies seem to believe. They could well cause an upset in Plzeň tonight, so the away win at 15/4 is a worthwhile price. An away win with both teams to score at 9/1 is even better.

Viktoria are enjoying a run of good form in their domestic league, with plenty of goals and a solid defensive record. After their most recent Champions League disaster it’s still difficult to say whether they’ll be a match for Larnaca, even with the home advantage. Bookies have Viktoria as the clear favourite, but AEK will no doubt put a lot of pressure on the home side. Viktoria for the win with both teams to score at 10/3 is certainly a safer option than backing the away side.

If you’re more risk averse, at 14/5 the draw is also tempting choice, with the early cashout option available in-play. The first leg of the UEFA Europa League qualification playoff stage kicks off on Thursday at 6:15pm UTC. It should be an exciting contest and we’re expecting goals.

Last 3 Games

  • Viktoria Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc 1
  • -0Jablonec vs FC Viktoria Plzen
  • 0-1Viktoria Plzen vs FC FCSB
  • 1-4Dinamo Minsk vs AEK Larnaca
  • 1-1AEK Larnaca vs Dinamo Mi
  • nsk 2-0AEK Larnaca vs Cork City 1-0

The International 2017 Dota 2

Newbee take on HellRaisers on the third day of The International 2017 Dota 2 tournament.

Newbee

Newbee are a very strong Dota 2 team from the Chinese region. They got directly invited to this year’s TI after a series of excellent results obtained in the wake of The Kiev Major disappointment, where they were eliminated in the first round of the competition. The Chinese team achieved 4 top 3 finishes just prior to The International 2017. They finished 1st at Galaxy Battles, 1st at ZOTAC Cup Masters, 2nd at The Manila Masters and 3rd at Mars Dota 2 League.

One of Newbee’s advantages going into TI is that they’ve had the same roster for close to a year and as a result are playing very well together. The team is led by Hu “Kaka” Lianzghi, a top MMR support player in the Chinese region with great experience and a lot of trophies to his name. Under his leadership, Newbee have had strong performances in the months prior to The International 2017, and are expected to get a good result at this tournament.

HellRaisers

HellRaisers (former Planet Dog) qualified for this TI by going not just through regional qualifiers, but open qualifiers as well. They managed to secure a spot at the event by winning the second phase of the European regional qualifier, defeating Mousesports in the Grand Finals (score 3-1).

The Europeans are regarded as a heavy underdog and they’re expected to finish at the bottom of their group. It remains to be seen whether or not they can make a comeback, but so far they’ve looked much weaker than most of their opponents.

Recent Performances

https://www.betspawn.com/en/odds/76-dota-2/17689-the-international/7458492-newbee-vs-hellraisers

Head To Head Record

With their current rosters, the two teams have never played against each other.

Betting Odds And Predictions

Based on the two team’s performances, both prior to and during The International 2017, Newbee are the clear favorites in this confrontation. Their record so far is 2 wins (against Cloud 9 and Execration), 2 draws (against Invictus Gaming and OG) and one loss (against LGD Forver Young, who hasn’t lost a single game yet at this TI), while their opponent’s record is 1 draw (against Execration) and 4 losses (against LGD Forever Young, OG, Digital Chaos and Virtus.pro).

Betway puts the odds at 1.50-2.75-13.00 in favor of Newbee. Betspawn gives similar odds in favor of the Chinese team: 1.50-2.74-15.00.

A lot of special bets are available for this match on websites like betway.com and betspawn.com. Among them, it’s well worth a bet that Newbee will destroy the first barracks. The Chinese team are very likely to put heavy pressure on their opponents, gradually increase their advantage and proceed to winning the game. So this particular bet is consistent with the overall prediction, which is that Newbee is going to win quite easily.

Top Betting Tip

My top betting tip for this match is Newbee to win 2-0. They are much stronger and much more experienced than their opponents, and it is highly unlikely that HellRaisers will be able to stand in their way. More betting tips under: www.online-betting.org.